New England Patriots 2024 Preview and Predictions

(RB Rhamondre Stevenson – USA Today Sports)

Key Players Returning:

RB Rhamondre Stevenson, WR/PR DeMario Douglas, OC David Andrews, OG Cole Strange, OT Mike Onwenu, DE Deatrich Wise Jr., DE Christian Barmore, NT Davon Godchaux, LB Ja’Whaun Bentley, LB Anfernee Jennings, LB Matthew Judon, LB Jahlani Tavai, CB Jonathan Jones, FS Jabrill Peppers, SS Kyle Dugger, KR Jalen Reagor, PK Chad Ryland, and PT Bryce Baringer.

Key Players Departing:

QB Mac Jones (Jaguars), RB Ezekiel Elliott (Cowboys), WR Devante Parker (Eagles), OT Trent Brown (Bengals), NT Lawrence Guy Sr. (Released), LB Mack Wilson (Cardinals), CB Jalen Mills (Giants), NB/PR Myles Bryant (Texans), and CB/FS Jalen Mills (Giants).

Key Players Added:

QB Jacoby Brissett (Commanders), RB Antonio Gibson (Commanders), WR KJ Osborn (Vikings), OT Chukwuma Okorafor (Steelers), and LB Sione Takitaki (Browns).

(QB Drake Maye – Getty Images)

Draft Picks:

Round 1: 
Pick 003 – QB Drake Maye (North Carolina)
Round 2:  Pick 037 – WR Ja’Lynn Polk (Washington)
Round 3:  Pick 068 – OT Caedan Wallace (Penn State)
Round 4:  Pick 103 – OG Layden Robinson (Texas A&M)
Round 4:  Pick 110 – WR Javon Baker (UCF)
Round 6:  Pick 180 – CB Marcellas Dial (South Carolina)
Round 6:  Pick 193 – QB Joe Milton III (Tennessee)
Round 7:  Pick 231 – TE Jaheim Bell (Florida State)

2023 Results:

W01  EAGLES  L  20-25
W02  MIAMI  L  17-24
W03  @ Jets  W  15-10
W04  @ Dallas  L  3-38
W05  SAINTS  L  0-34
W06  @ Raiders  L  17-21
W07  BILLS  W  29-25
W08  @ Dolphins  L  17-31
W09  COMMANDERS  L  17-20
W10  COLTS  L  6-10
Bye Week
W12  @ Giants  L  7-10
W13  CHARGERS  L  0-6
W14  @ Steelers  W  21-18
W15  CHIEFS  L  17-27
W16  @ Broncos  W  28-23
W17  @ Bills  L  21-27
W18  JETS  L  3-17

Team Info:

2023 Record:  4-13 (4th in AFC East)

Home:  1-8
Away:  2-5
East:  2-4
AFC:  4-8
NFC:  0-5

Head Coach:  Jerod Mayo

New England:  0-0
Career:  0-0
Playoffs:  0-0

(DT Christian Barmore – USA today Sports)

Returning Statistical Leaders:

Passing: 
Bailey Zappe (127-212, 1272 yards, 59.9%, 6.0 avg., 6 TD, 9 INT)
Rushing: Rhamondre Stevenson (156 car., 619 yards, 4.0 avg., 4 TD)
Receiving:  DeMario Douglas (49 rec., 561 yards, 11.4 avg., 0 TD)
Yards After Catch:  DeMario Douglas (336)
TD’s Scored:  Rhamondre Stevenson (4)
Sacks:  Christian Barmore (8.5)
Tackles:  Ja’Whaun Bentley (114)
Interceptions:  Kyle Duggar/Jabril Peppers/Jahlani Tavai (2)
Pass Deflections:  Jabril Peppers (8)
Tackles For Loss:  Christian Barmore (13)
Forced Fumbles:  Jahlani Tavai (2)
Kick Returns:  Kevin Harris (1 car., 20 yards, 20.0 avg., 0 TD)
Punt Returns:  DeMario Douglas (11 ret., 56 yards, 5.1 avg., 0 TD)
Kicking:  Chad Ryland (16-25 fg/fga., 64%, 24-25 xp/xpa., 72 pts.)
Punting:  Bryce Baringer (98 punts, 4598 yards, 46.9 avg., 38 in20)

Projected Offensive Starters:

QB:  14  Jacoby Brissett
RB:  38  Rhamondre Stevenson
WR:  1  Ja’Lynn Polk  |R|
WR:  84  Kendrick Bourne
WR:  81  DeMario Douglas
TE:  85  Hunter Henry
LT:  77  Chukwuma Okorafor
LG:  50  Cole Strange
OC:  60  David Andrews
RG:  62  Sidy Sow
RT:  71  Mike Onwenu
KR:  83  Jalen Reagor
PK:  37  Chad Ryland

Projected Defensive Starters:

DE:  99  Keion White
NT:  92  Davon Godchaux
DE:  90  Christian Barmore
LB:  9  Matthew Judon
LB:  8  Ja’Whaun Bentley
LB:  48  Jahlani Tavai
NB:  25  Marcus Jones
CB:  31  Jonathan Jones
CB:  0   Christian Gonzalez
FS:  5  Jabrill Peppers
SS:  23  Kyle Dugger
PR:  3  DeMario Douglas
PT:  17  Bryce Baringer

(LB Ja’Whaun Bentley – Getty Images)

Team Grades:

Offense

Quarterbacks:  B
Running Backs:  C
Wide Receivers:  C
Offensive Line:  C

Defense

Defensive Line:  C
Linebackers:  A
Secondary:  B

Special Teams

Kick Returners:  A
Punt Returners:  C
Kickers:  C
Punters:  A

Schedule:

09/08 
@ Bengals  |  New England leads the series 17-10.  The Patriots lost (18-22) the last meeting between teams in 2022, and their last series win (34-13) was in 2019.

09/15  SEAHAWKS  |  New England trails the series 9-10.  The Patriots lost (30-35) the last meeting between teams in 2020, and their last series win (28-24) was in 2014.

09/19  @ Jets  |  New England leads the series 67-50-1.  The Patriots are 9-11 since 2014, and their last series road loss (20-26) was in 2015.

09/29  @ 49ers  |  New England trails the series 5-9.  The Patriots lost (6-33) the last meeting between teams in 2020, and their last series win (30-17) was in 2016.

10/06  DOLPHINS  |  The Patriots’ last series home win (23-21) was in 2022.

10/13  TEXANS  |  New England leads the series 11-3.  The Patriots won (25-22) the last meeting between schools in 2021, and their last series loss (20-27) was at the prior meeting in 2020.

10/20  @ Jaguars  |  New England leads the series 12-2.  The Patriots won (50-10) the last meeting between teams in 2021, and their last series loss (20-31) was at the prior meeting in 2018.

10/27  JETS  |  The Patriots are 18-2 since 2014, and their last series home win (10-3) was in 2022.

11/03  @ Titans  |  New England leads the series 20-13.  The Patriots won (36-13) the last meeting between teams in 2021, and their last series loss (3-20) was at the prior meeting in 2019.

11/10  @ Bears  |  New England leads the series 10-5.  The Patriots lost (14-33) the last meeting between teams in 2022, and their last series win (38-31) was in 2018.

11/17  RAMS  |  New England leads the series 9-6.  The Patriots lost (3-24) the last meeting between teams in 2020, and their last series win (13-3) was at the prior meeting in 2018.

11/24  @ Dolphins  |  The Patriots last series road win (43-0) was in 2019.

12/01  COLTS  |  New England leads the series 53-31.  The Patriots are 5-2 since 2014, and their last series win (26-3) was in 2022.

12/15  @ Cardinals  |  New England leads the series 9-7.  The Patriots won (27-13) the last meeting between teams in 2022, and their last series loss (18-20) was in 2012.

12/22  @ Bills  |  New England leads the series 72-44.  The Patriots are 12-9 since 2014, and their last series road win (14-10) was in 2021.

12/29  CHARGERS  |  New England leads the series 21-18-1.  The Dolphins are 5-1 since 2014, and their last series win (27-24) was in 2021.

01/05  BILLS  |  The Patriots’ last series home loss (19-24) was in 2022.

Predictions:

Home:  1-7
Road:  1-8
East:  0-6
AFC:  1-11
NFC:  1-4

Overall:  2-15 (4th in AFC East)

Series Histories:  Histories are from the inception of the first Super Bowl season through present day.
Meetings prior to 1966 are not included.  Playoff wins are included in the year the season took place.  For example, if a team won a wildcard game in January of 2024, the game will be listed under the 2023 season.