Buffalo Bills 2024 Preview and Predictions

(QB Josh Allen – Getty Images)

Key Players Returning:

QB Josh Allen, RB James Cook, WR/RS Khalil Shakir, TE Dalton Kincaid, OC Connor McGovern, OG O’Cyrus Torrence, OT Spencer Brown, OT Dion Dawkins, DE AJ Epenesa, DE Greg Rousseau, DT DaQuan Jones, DT Ed Oliver, LB Terrel Bernard, LB Dorian Williams, CB Christian Benford, CB Rasul Douglas, CB Kaiir Elam, NB Taron Johnson, FS Taylor Rapp, SS Damar Hamlin, PK Tyler Bass, and PT Sam Martin.

Key Players Departing:
                               
WR Gabe Davis (Jaguars), WR Stefon Diggs (Texans), OC Mitch Morse (Jaguars), DE Leonard Floyd (49ers), DT Jordan Phillips (Giants), LB Tyrel Dodson (Seahawks), CB Dane Jackson (Panthers), CB Tre’Davious White (Rams), FS/PR Micah Hyde (UFA), SS Jordan Poyer (Dolphins), and KR/PR Nyheim Hines (Browns).

Key Players Added:

WR Mack Hollins (Falcons), WR Curtis Samuel (Commanders), OT La’el Collins (Bengals), LB Nicholas Morrow (Eagles), and FS Mike Edwards (Chiefs).

(WR Keon Coleman – 247Sports)

Draft Picks:

Round 2:  Pick 033 – WR Keon Coleman (Florida State)
Round 2:  Pick 060 – DS Cole Bishop (Utah)
Round 3:  Pick 095 – DT DeWayne Carter (Duke)
Round 4:  Pick 128 – RB Ray Davis (Kentucky)
Round 5:  Pick 141 – OC Sedrick Van Pran-Granger (Georgia)
Round 5:  Pick 160 – LB Edefuan Ulofoshio (Washington)
Round 5:  Pick 168 – DE Javon Soloman (Troy)
Round 6:  Pick 204 – OT Tylan Grable (UCF)
Round 7:  Pick 219 – CB Daequan Hardy (Penn State)
Round 7:  Pick 221 – OG Travis Clayton (IPP)

2023 Results:

W01  @ Jets  L (OT)  16-22
W02  RAIDERS  W  38-10
W03  @ Commanders  W  37-3
W04  DOLPHINS  W  48-20
W05  JAGUARS  L  20-25
W06  GIANTS  W  14-9
W07  @ Patriots  L  25-29
W08  BUCCANEERS  W  24-18
W09  @ Bengals  L  18-24
W10  BRONCOS  L  22-24
W11  JETS  W  32-6
W12  @ Eagles  L (OT)  34-37
W14  @ Chiefs  W  20-17
W15  COWBOYS  W  31-10
W16  @ Chargers  W 24-22
W17  PATRIOTS  W  27-21
W18  @ Dolphins  W  21-14
WC  STEELERS  W  31-17
DIV  CHIEFS  L  24-27

Team Info:

2023 Record:  11-6 (1st in AFC East)

Home:  7-2
Road:  4-4
East:  4-2
AFC:  7-5
NFC:  4-1

Head Coach:  Sean McDermott

Buffalo:  77-46  
Career:  77-46
Postseason:  5-6

(DT Ed Oliver – Duane Burleson/AP Photo)

Returning Statistical Leaders:

Passing:
   Josh Allen (385-579, 4306 yards, 66.5%, 7.4 avg., 39 TD, 18 INT)
Rushing:  James Cook (237 car., 1122 yards, 4.7 avg., 2 TD)
Receiving:  Dalton Kincaid(73 rec., 673 yards, 9.2 avg., 2 TD)
Yards After Catch:
  James Cook (398)
TDs Scored:  Josh Allen (15)
Sacks:  Ed Oliver (9.5)
Tackles:  Terrel Bernard (143)
Interceptions:  Rasul Douglas (4)
Pass Deflections:  Christian Benford (10)
Tackles For Loss:  Ed Oliver (14)
Forced Fumbles:  Taron Johnson (3)
Kick Returns:  Khalil Shakir (5 ret., 98 yards, 19.6 avg., 0 TD)
Punt Returns:  Khalil Shakir (5 ret., 37 yards, 7.4 avg., 0 TD)
Kicking:  Tyler Bass (24-29 fg/fga., 83%, 49-50 xp/xpa., 121 pts.)
Punting:  Sam Martin (51 punts, 2334 yards, 45.8 avg., 24 in20)

Projected Offensive Starters:

QB:  17  Josh Allen
RB:  4  James Cook
WR:  0  Keon Coleman  |R|
WR:  1  Curtis Samuel
WR:  10  Khalil Shakir
TE:  86  Dalton Kincaid
LT:  73  Dion Dawkins
LG:  76  David Edwards
OC:   66  Connor McGovern
RG:  64  O’Cyrus Torrance
RT:  79  Spencer Brown
KR:  10  Khalil Shakir
PK:  2  Tyler Bass

Projected Defensive Starters:

DE:  50  Greg Rousseau
DT:  91  Ed Oliver
NT:  92  DaQuan Jones
DE:  57  AJ Espenesa
LB:  58  Matt Milano
LB:  43  Terrel Bernard
NB:  7  Taron Johnson
CB:  47  Christian Benford
CB:  31  Rasul Douglas
FS:  24  Cole Bishop  |R|
SS:  20  Taylor Rapp
PR:  25  Daequan Hardy  |R|
PT:  8  Sam Martin

(RB James Cook – Getty Images)

Team Grades:

Offense

Quarterbacks:  B
Running Backs:  B
Wide Receivers:  C
Offensive Line:  A

Defense

Defensive Line:  B
Linebackers:  A
Secondary:  B

Special Teams

Kick Returners:  C
Punt Returners:  C
Kickers:  A
Punters:  A

Schedule:

09/08  CARDINALS  |  Buffalo leads the series 7-5.  The Bills lost (30-32) the last meeting between teams in 2020, and their last series win (33-18) was at the prior meeting in 2016.

09/12 
@ Dolphins  |  Buffalo trails the series 58-62-1.  The Bills are 16-5 since 2014, and their last series road loss (19-21) was in 2022.

09/23  JAGUARS  |  Buffalo trails the series 9-10.  The Bills are 2-4 since restarting the series in 2015, and their last series win (24-21) was in 2018.

09/29  @ Ravens  |  Buffalo trails the series 5-6.  The Bills won (23-20) the last meeting between teams in 2022, and their last series loss (17-24) was in 2019.

10/06  @ Texans  |  Buffalo trails the series 5-6.  The Bills won (44-0) the last meeting between teams in 2021, and their last series loss (19-22) was at the prior meeting in 2019.

10/14  @ Jets  |  Buffalo leads the series 62-53.  The Bills are 13-7 since 2014, and their last series road win (45-17) was in 2021.

10/20  TITANS  |  Buffalo trails the series 15-23.  The Bills are 4-2 since restarting the series in 2015, and they won (41-7) the last meeting between teams in 2022.

10/27  @ Seahawks  |  Buffalo trails the series 6-8.  The Bills won (44-34) the last meeting between teams in 2020, and their last series loss (25-31) was in 2016.

11/03  DOLPHINS  |  The Bills last series home loss (31-34) was in 2016.

11/10  @ Colts  |  Buffalo leads the series 38-33-1.  The Bills lost (15-41) the last meeting between teams in 2021, and their last series win (27-24) was at the prior meeting in 2020.

11/17  CHIEFS  |  Buffalo leads the series 29-25-1.  The Bills are 4-6 since 2014, and their last regular season series loss (17-26) was in 2020.

12/01  49ERS  |  Buffalo leads the series 7-6.  The Bills won (34-24) the last meeting between teams in 2020, and their last series loss (3-45) was in 2012.

12/08  @ Rams  |  Buffalo leads the series 9-5.  The Bills won (31-10) the last meeting between teams in 2022.

12/15  @ Lions  |  Buffalo leads the series 7-4-1.  The Bills won (28-25) the last meeting between teams in 2022, and their last series loss (17-20) dates back to 2006.

12/22  PATRIOTS  |  Buffalo trails the series 44-72.  Th Bills are 9-12 since 2014, and their last series home loss (10-14) was in 2021.

12/29  JETS  |  The Bills last series home loss (6-13) was in 2019.

01/05  @ Patriots  |  The Bills last series road win (24-10) was in 2022.

Prediction:

Home:  5-3
Road:  2-7
East:  3-3
AFC:  6-6
NFC:  1-4

Overall:  7-10 (3rd in AFC East)

Series Histories:  Histories are from the inception of the first Super Bowl season through present day.
Meetings prior to 1966 are not included.  Playoff wins are included in the year the season took place.  For example, if a team won a wildcard game in January of 2024, the game will be listed under the 2023 season