Buffalo Bills 2023 Preview and Predictions

(Photo Credit: Tim Warner/Getty Images)

Key Players Returning:

QB Josh Allen, RB James Cook, WR Gabe Davis, WR Stefon Diggs, TE Dawson Knox, OC Mitch Morse, OG Ryan Bates, OT Spencer Brown, OT Dion Dawkins, DE AJ Epenesa, DE Shaq Lawson, DE Von Miller, DE Greg Rousseau, DT DaQuan Jones, DT Ed Oliver, LB Tyrel Dodson, LB Matt Milano, CB Christian Benford, CB Kaiir Elam, CB Dane Jackson, CB Tre’Davious White, NB Taron Johnson, FS/PR Micah Hyde, SS Damar Hamlin, SS Jordan Poyer, KR/PR Nyheim Hines, PK Tyler Bass and PT Sam Martin.

Key Players Departing:
                            
RB Devin Singletary (Texans), WR/RS Isaiah McKenzie (Colts), OG Rodger Saffold (UFA) and LB Tremaine Edmunds (Bears).

Key Players Added:

QB Kyle Allen (Texans), RB Damien Harris (Patriots) and OG Connor McGovern (Cowboys).

Draft Picks

Round 1: 
Pick 026 – TE Dalton Kincaid (Utah)
Round 2:  Pick 059 – OG O’Cyrus Torrence (Florida)
Round 3:  Pick 091 – LB Dorian Williams (Tulane)
Round 5:  Pick 150 – WR Justin Shorter (Florida)
Round 7:  Pick 230 – OG Nick Broeker (Ole Miss)
Round 7:  Pick 252 – CB Alex Austin (Oregon State)

2022 Results:

W01  @ Rams  W  34-31
W02  TITANS  W  41-7
W03  @ Dolphins  L  19-21
W04  @ Ravens  W  23-20
W05  STEELERS  W  38-3
W06  @ Chiefs  W  24-20
W08  PACKERS  W  27-17
W09  @ Jets  L  17-20
W10  VIKINGS  L  30-33
W11  BROWNS  W  31-23
W12  @ Lions  W  28-25
W13  @ Patriots  W  24-10
W14  JETS  W  20-12
W15  DOLPHINS  W  32-29
W16  @ Bears  W  35-13
W17  @ Bengals  CANC
W18  PATRIOTS  W  35-23
WC  DOLPHINS  W  34-31
DIV  BENGALS  L  10-27

Team Info:

2022 Record:  13-3 (1st in AFC East)

Home:  7-1
Road:  6-2
East:  4-2
AFC:  9-2
NFC:  4-1

Head Coach:  Sean McDermott

Buffalo:  66-40  
Career:  66-40
Postseason:  4-5

Returning Statistical Leaders:

Passing:
   Josh Allen (359-567, 4283 yards, 63.3%, 7.6 avg., 35 TD, 14 INT)
Rushing:  James Cook (89 car., 507 yards, 5.7 avg., 2 TD)
Receiving:  Stefon Diggs (108 rec., 1429 yards, 13.2 avg., 11 TD)
Yards After Catch:  Stefon Diggs (419)
TDs Scored:  Stefon Diggs (11)
Sacks:  Von Miller/Greg Rousseau (8)
Tackles:  Matt Milano (99)
Interceptions:  Jordan Poyer (4)
Pass Deflections:  Dane Jackson (12)
Tackles For Loss:  Matt Milano (12)
Forced Fumbles:  AJ Epenesa (2)
Kick Returns:  Nyheim Hines (19 ret., 554 yards, 22.4 avg., 0 TD)
Punt Returns:  Nyheim Hines (16 ret., 153 yards, 9.6avg., 0 TD)
Kicking:  Tyler Bass (27-31 fg/fga., 87%, 48-50 xp/xpa., 129 pts.)
Punting:  Sam Martin (45 punts, 2146 yards, 47.7 avg., 16 in20)

Projected Offensive Starters:

QB:  17  Josh Allen
RB:  4  James Cook
WR:  14  Stefon Diggs
WR:  13  Gabe Davis
WR:  10  Khalil Shakir
TE:  88  Dawson Knox
LT:  73  Dion Dawkins
LG:  66  Connor McGovern
OC:  60  Mitch Morse
RG:  71  Ryan Bates
RT:  79  Spencer Brown
KR:  00  Nyheim Hines
PK:  2  Tyler Bass

Projected Defensive Starters:

DE:  50  Greg Rousseau
DT:  91  Ed Oliver
DT:  92  DaQuan Jones
DE:  40  Von Miller
LB:  58  Matt Milano
LB:  43  Terrel Bernard
NB:  7  Taron Johnson
CB:  27  Tre’Davious White
CB:  24  Kaiir Elam
FS:  23  Micah Hyde
SS:  21  Jordan Poyer
PR:  00  Nyheim Hines
PT:  8  Sam Martin

Team Grades:

Offense

Quarterbacks:  A
Running Backs:  B
Wide Receivers:  B
Offensive Line:  B

Defense

Defensive Line:  B
Linebackers:  B
Secondary:  B

Special Teams

Kick Returners:  A
Punt Returners:  B
Kickers:  A
Punters:  A

Schedule:

09/11 @ Jets  |  Buffalo leads the series 61-52.  The Bills are 13-7 since 2013 and their last series home loss (6-13) was in 2019.

09/17
 RAIDERS  |  Buffalo trails the series 13-17.  The Bills won (30-23) the last meeting between teams in 2020.

09/24 @ Commanders  |  Buffalo leads the series 10-6.  The Bills won (43-21) the last meeting between teams in 2021.

10/01  DOLPHINS  |  Buffalo trails the series 56-62-1.  The Bills are 16-5 since 2013 and their last series home loss (31-34) was in 2016.

10/08 JAGUARS  |  The series is tied 9-9.  The Bills are 3-3 since 2013 and they lost (6-9) the last meeting between teams in 2021.

10/15 GIANTS  |  The series is tied 7-7.  The Bills won (28-24) the last meeting between teams in 2019.

10/22  @ Patriots  |  Buffalo trails the series 43-71.  The Bills are 8-13 since 2013 and their last regular season home loss (10-14) of the series was in 2021.

10/26 BUCCANEERS  |  Buffalo trails the series 4-8.  The Bills lost (27-33) the last meeting between teams in 2021.

11/05  @ Bengals  |  Buffalo leads the series 17-16.  The Bills are 2-4 since 2013 and their last win (21-17) of the series was in 2019.

11/13  BRONCOS  |  Buffalo leads the series 15-13.  The Bills won (48-19) the last meeting between teams in 2020.

11/19  JETS  |  The Bills last home loss (6-13) of the series was in 2019.

11/26  @ Eagles  |  Buffalo trails the series 6-8.  The Bills lost (13-31) the last meeting between teams in 2019.

12/10  @ Chiefs  |  Buffalo trails the series 20-21.  The Bills are 3-6 since 2013 and their last regular season road loss (22-30) of the series was in 2015.

12/17  COWBOYS  |  Buffalo trails the series 5-8.  The Bills won (26-15) the last meeting between teams in 2019.

12/23  @ Chargers  |  Buffalo trails the series 6-19-1.  The Bills won (27-17) the last meeting between teams in 2020.

12/31  PATRIOTS  |  The Bills last regular season home loss (10-14) of the series was in 2021.

01/07  @ Dolphins  |  The Bills last road win (35-0) of the series was in 2021.

Prediction:

Home:  8-1
Road:  4-4
East:  5-1
AFC:  8-4
NFC:  4-1

Overall:  12-5 (2nd in AFC East – Eliminated by Chargers in Wild Card)

Series Histories:  Histories are from the inception of the first Super Bowl season through present day.
Meetings prior to 1966 are not included.  Playoff wins are included in the year the season took place.  For example, if a team won a wildcard game in January of 2023, the game will be listed under the 2022 season.